Josh Kurz
Predicting the Peak: Spring Runoff 2024!
The 2024 meltdown is well underway! The snowpack at the Upper San Juan Snotel site (USJSS) peaked 3 days early on April 11th with 25.8...
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Josh Kurz
- May 7, 2023
- 3 min
Predicting the Peak: Spring Runoff 2023
As I enter my 25th year of living in the Southern San Juans, I’ve witnessed events this spring that I’ve never seen before! For example,...
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Josh Kurz
- May 4, 2021
- 3 min
Signs in the Snow
Like constellations in the night sky, some see shapes in the snow and claim that they can foretell the future. From October till May,...
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Josh Kurz
- Aug 22, 2020
- 6 min
Hurricanes in Colorado?
On October 5th, 1911, the San Juan River experienced the highest and most devastating flood on record. Since the flood washed out every...
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Josh Kurz
- Jul 16, 2020
- 2 min
Streamflow and Precipitation Update: July 2020
It may surprise you to know that the 2020 spring runoff on the San Juan River was a top-five event! While the 2019 spring runoff was the...
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Josh Kurz
- Apr 25, 2020
- 2 min
2020 Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering when and how much streamflow to expect in the San Juan River during the 2020 spring runoff? And how will the 2020 spring...
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Josh Kurz
- Jun 12, 2019
- 2 min
Spring Runoff 2019: Let's Call It a Come-back!
The town of Pagosa Springs can breathe a sigh of relief: it appears that the much-anticipated peak spring runoff event has occurred...
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Josh Kurz
- Jun 3, 2019
- 2 min
Snowpack and Streamflow Update
The current 2019 Southern San Juan snowpack is not unprecedented, but it's getting harder to find years to compare it to! Winter appears...
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Josh Kurz
- May 19, 2019
- 2 min
Updated Spring Runoff Prediction (I was wrong)
Is this Ireland or the San Juan Mountains? It sure is green, but just looking at the 7-day forecast makes me shiver! In stark contrast...
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Josh Kurz
- Apr 25, 2019
- 2 min
The 2019 Winter Review and Spring Runoff Prediction
The 2019 winter was officially a winner! The most encouraging sight was seeing the drinking water reservoirs cascading over their...
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Josh Kurz
- Oct 9, 2018
- 2 min
Happy New (water) Year!
The 2019 water year is off to a great start! Two days into the new water year, moisture from Hurricane Rosa streamed into the Southern...
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Josh Kurz
- Sep 2, 2018
- 2 min
Summer Streamflow and Precipitation Summary
As the summer sizzled, the monsoon fizzled, and the streamflow dwindled. The tubing opportunities decreased and now the all the trout...
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Josh Kurz
- Jul 21, 2018
- 2 min
Meandering Monsoon Moisture
It's amazing how much a drought can make you appreciate the rain! Ironically, it's the lack of rain in May and June that sets the stage...
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Josh Kurz
- Jun 14, 2018
- 2 min
2018 Streamflow and Precipitation Update
How low can the flow go? As the 416 and Burro wildfires rage near Durango, it's obvious that the streamflow in the San Juan River is...
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Josh Kurz
- May 15, 2018
- 2 min
Spring Runoff Update
Peak spring runoff in the the San Juan River occurred in Pagosa Springs on May 10th at 11:45 PM at 1330 cfs! Even though the Upper San...
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Josh Kurz
- May 1, 2018
- 2 min
Current Snow Standings and San Juan River Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering how the 2018 snowpack stacks up against recent years with big summer wildfires? And when and how much streamflow will our...
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Josh Kurz
- Apr 22, 2018
- 2 min
Current Snow Standings and San Juan River Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering how the 2018 snowpack stacks up against recent years with big summer wildfires? And when and how much streamflow will our...
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Josh Kurz
- Apr 9, 2018
- 2 min
Current Snow Standings and San Juan River Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering how the 2018 snowpack stacks up against the worst 4 years in recent history? And when and how much streamflow will our meager...
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Josh Kurz
- Mar 18, 2018
- 3 min
Predicting Flow from Snow
If you're wondering about the timing and magnitude of this year's spring runoff, I have a prediction for you. Back in 2013, I taught my...
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Josh Kurz
- Jan 15, 2018
- 1 min
Current Snow Standings
How does the current snowpack in the Southern San Juans stack up against the 4 worst years in recent history? This graph shows the...
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