Josh Kurz
Predicting the Peak: Spring Runoff 2023
As I enter my 25th year of living in the Southern San Juans, I’ve witnessed events this spring that I’ve never seen before! For example,...
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Josh Kurz
- Mar 24
- 2 min
Winning Winter: 2019 vs 2023
How does our current snowpack stack up to the epic winter of 2018-2019? In the 23 years that I’ve shoveled snow in Pagosa, I can’t...
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Josh Kurz
- May 4, 2021
- 3 min
Signs in the Snow
Like constellations in the night sky, some see shapes in the snow and claim that they can foretell the future. From October till May,...
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Josh Kurz
- Jul 16, 2020
- 2 min
Streamflow and Precipitation Update: July 2020
It may surprise you to know that the 2020 spring runoff on the San Juan River was a top-five event! While the 2019 spring runoff was the...
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Josh Kurz
- Apr 25, 2020
- 2 min
2020 Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering when and how much streamflow to expect in the San Juan River during the 2020 spring runoff? And how will the 2020 spring...
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Josh Kurz
- Mar 6, 2020
- 3 min
Snowpack Update and Outlook: March 2020
Rather than climbing snowbanks onto the Pagosa Springs High School roof or jumping out of the second-story classroom windows into the...
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Josh Kurz
- Feb 8, 2020
- 2 min
Current Snowpack Situation
Wondering how the snowpack in the Southern San Juan Mountains stacks up to the last year and the historic norm? January is usually the...
275 views2 comments
Josh Kurz
- Jan 7, 2020
- 2 min
January 2020 Snowpack Update: Southern San Juan Mountains
How does the 2020 snowpack stack up to last year and to the historic norm? Snow-wise, 2019 is a tough act to follow, but I was surprised...
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Josh Kurz
- Jun 3, 2019
- 2 min
Snowpack and Streamflow Update
The current 2019 Southern San Juan snowpack is not unprecedented, but it's getting harder to find years to compare it to! Winter appears...
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Josh Kurz
- Apr 25, 2019
- 2 min
The 2019 Winter Review and Spring Runoff Prediction
The 2019 winter was officially a winner! The most encouraging sight was seeing the drinking water reservoirs cascading over their...
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Josh Kurz
- Mar 9, 2019
- 2 min
March Snowfall Trends
After a near record-setting February, March is off to a great start, and more storms are on the way! Snow conditions are polar opposite...
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Josh Kurz
- Feb 23, 2019
- 2 min
New Snow Record?
Have we broken any snow depth records this year? To answer that question, I plotted March 1st snow depths over the last 20 winters....
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Josh Kurz
- Feb 9, 2019
- 1 min
Current Snow Situation
Wondering how our current snowpack stacks up against last year and the historic average? Storms this past week added about four inches...
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Josh Kurz
- Jan 4, 2019
- 1 min
Current Snow Situation
Waking up to nearly two feet of fresh snow was a great way to start 2019! The New Year's Storm ranks as one of the top storms of the...
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Josh Kurz
- Nov 4, 2018
- 2 min
What Does a Strong October Mean for the Rest of the Snow Season?
The snow season in the Southern San Juan Mountains is off to a strong start! Wolf Creek Ski Area opened on October 13, only 5 days later...
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Josh Kurz
- May 15, 2018
- 2 min
Spring Runoff Update
Peak spring runoff in the the San Juan River occurred in Pagosa Springs on May 10th at 11:45 PM at 1330 cfs! Even though the Upper San...
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Josh Kurz
- May 1, 2018
- 2 min
Current Snow Standings and San Juan River Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering how the 2018 snowpack stacks up against recent years with big summer wildfires? And when and how much streamflow will our...
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Josh Kurz
- Apr 22, 2018
- 2 min
Current Snow Standings and San Juan River Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering how the 2018 snowpack stacks up against recent years with big summer wildfires? And when and how much streamflow will our...
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Josh Kurz
- Apr 9, 2018
- 2 min
Current Snow Standings and San Juan River Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering how the 2018 snowpack stacks up against the worst 4 years in recent history? And when and how much streamflow will our meager...
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Josh Kurz
- Mar 18, 2018
- 3 min
Predicting Flow from Snow
If you're wondering about the timing and magnitude of this year's spring runoff, I have a prediction for you. Back in 2013, I taught my...
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